Signals and Noise Premium
Apr 24, 2026
This week's Premium edition is ready.
It was a heavy week. NAB is now preparing for recession. Cochlear collapsed 40.7%. The war drags on with no off-ramp in sight. Asia is fracturing under supply chain pressure. And the federal government is exploring a $10 billion oil refinery.
Here is what is inside:
- Steve's Review: Geopolitics, the ceasefire extension, Iran refusing talks, and the new Fed Chair nominee's hawkish stance
- Steve's Review: The Oz Economy, NAB's 45% recession probability, $706m in provisions, petrol and inflation data, and why the government is now on a war footing
- The ASX: down ~2%, Cochlear's 40.7% single-day wipeout, and why confession season is just getting started
- Special Topic: Don't Lose Money, time is your superpower, the 3 Wells explained, and why patience is a competitive advantage
- Special Topic: Commodities and critical minerals, the Serra Verde acquisition, Lynas record revenue, and Trump's trade chief pressuring allies
- This week's members video (embedded, ready to watch)
- TMM Podcast: latest episode on Spotify
- Interactive loss recovery calculator (pre-loaded with Cochlear's 40.7% drop)
- Book of the week: Bollinger on Bollinger Bands
Read the full edition below.
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