This week: 5.5%, the Sydney developer, and the narrative stock | Signals and Noise Premium, August 14
This week's Signals & Noise Premium is live.
The theme is opportunity cost, and specifically the 5.5% cash rate that now defines the bar for every other investment. Inside this week's issue:
The Members Message on opportunity cost, and why the private credit pitch breaks the moment you run it through the 5.5% test.
The three points of friction: the Saudi Aramco commentary on the 11 million barrel per day supply shock, China's formal exit ban on rare earth scientists (effective September 15), and the Livewire piece on 18 private credit funds with $3 billion tied to one distressed Sydney developer.
The Oz Economy read: RBA on hold, 97% of Sydney suburbs falling in the last quarter, and what it means for the collateral chain underneath private credit.
The Instrument Panel: the full yield stack, cash versus ASX versus S&P 500 versus private credit, with the risk annotation next to each.
The Rare Earth Race, and this week's Stock Watch on the one Western position we hold on this theme (general information only, full disclaimer inside).
Plus the Weekly Video Review with Steve, Tom and Jacob on camera, and the Anti-Fragile Investor whitepaper to read, download and keep.
One reminder: the next monthly coaching call is next week.
Steve, Tom and Jacob
Total Money Management | AFSL 568642
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