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The Signal and Noise

Oct 24, 2025
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Ending October 24, 2025

Video Overview 

Signals and Noise 24th October

 TMM Facebook Community

 

THIS IS VERY IMPORTANT

The US economy appears to be fading and looking down the barrel of a recession. This is when debt matters.

 

Short Stories

  • America and Argentina. Watch closely.... 
  • Conflict - Both Ukraine and Russia suffer from targetting each other's critical industries.  
  • Rare earths - Europe mulls a response to China's controls. 

The Oz Economy

There are growing doubts AI will achieve what high profile promoters said it would. Too many journalists don't search for balance, nor read any alternative narratives. 

If AI is a good investment, we're in trouble

Speculative manias where the first investors win because there isn't a bust are rare occurrences.

www.abc.net.au

This is what we have been higlighting for some time. Australia will be pulled into the US's orbit as we move away from China. I'm not sure critical minerals will be worth $2 as Trump states, but there is no doubt that the US is removing itself from China's rare earth grip. Watch phamaceuticals because it will be the next industry to be removed from China's grip. 

Albanese and Trump ink deal for 'dominance' of critical minerals

Donald Trump and Anthony Albanese have inked a deal for "critical mineral and energy dominance" in a new partnership that will tip billio...

www.abc.net.au

Hard not to disagree.........

"The world has gone mad": Marcus Padley goes 100% cash

The S&P 500 is on fire, Big Tech is about to report... and Marcus has left the building. "The stock market has become a dangerous place."

www.livewiremarkets.com

Evan the Koreans are at it

Speaking of going mad.....

One in three property markets now command a seven-figure med

Cotality's Million Dollar Markets - October 2025 | Cotality

www.cotality.com

Lesson of the Week

 

There is a persistent myth in investing that you never lose when you buy stocks regardless of the price because time heals all wounds. This chart below shows that that is simply not the case. Stocks can spend a long time in the wilderness delivering sub-par returns and underperforming other asset classes. Don't be lured into the idea that you are "missing out" simply because making money in the short term looks easy. Valuation matters. 

 

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