← Back to all posts

The Signal and Noise

Oct 24, 2025
Follow Us!

Ending October 24, 2025

Video Overview 

Signals and Noise 24th October

 TMM Facebook Community

 

THIS IS VERY IMPORTANT

The US economy appears to be fading and looking down the barrel of a recession. This is when debt matters.

 

Short Stories

  • America and Argentina. Watch closely.... 
  • Conflict - Both Ukraine and Russia suffer from targetting each other's critical industries.  
  • Rare earths - Europe mulls a response to China's controls. 

The Oz Economy

There are growing doubts AI will achieve what high profile promoters said it would. Too many journalists don't search for balance, nor read any alternative narratives. 

If AI is a good investment, we're in trouble

Speculative manias where the first investors win because there isn't a bust are rare occurrences.

www.abc.net.au

This is what we have been higlighting for some time. Australia will be pulled into the US's orbit as we move away from China. I'm not sure critical minerals will be worth $2 as Trump states, but there is no doubt that the US is removing itself from China's rare earth grip. Watch phamaceuticals because it will be the next industry to be removed from China's grip. 

Albanese and Trump ink deal for 'dominance' of critical minerals

Donald Trump and Anthony Albanese have inked a deal for "critical mineral and energy dominance" in a new partnership that will tip billio...

www.abc.net.au

Hard not to disagree.........

"The world has gone mad": Marcus Padley goes 100% cash

The S&P 500 is on fire, Big Tech is about to report... and Marcus has left the building. "The stock market has become a dangerous place."

www.livewiremarkets.com

Evan the Koreans are at it

Speaking of going mad.....

One in three property markets now command a seven-figure med

Cotality's Million Dollar Markets - October 2025 | Cotality

www.cotality.com

Lesson of the Week

 

There is a persistent myth in investing that you never lose when you buy stocks regardless of the price because time heals all wounds. This chart below shows that that is simply not the case. Stocks can spend a long time in the wilderness delivering sub-par returns and underperforming other asset classes. Don't be lured into the idea that you are "missing out" simply because making money in the short term looks easy. Valuation matters. 

 

The TMM Podcast

Wherever you get your podcasts 

Spotify 

 

Steve's Signals 

 

Go deeper each week with Steve’s take on the market’s most interesting companies and ETFs, what’s working, what’s not, where value is hiding, (and where we're investing).


Access stock reviews, sector breakdowns, and portfolio insights shared exclusively with paid members.

What you'll get

  1. Monthly Live Coaching Calls with Steve, Tom and Jacob covering the investments and strategies we are looking at
  2. Weekly ETF and stock picks
  3. Extended “S&N” editions
  4. Early access to new content
  5. Priority Q&A in the community or podcast
  6. Access to hours of Mini-Courses & Quick Guides in our portal
  7. ETF Portfolio Templates
  8. Macro insights and sector scorecards
  9. Over two years of recorded Coaching calls to see what worked
  10. Receive diversification insights, risk notes, and simple action points


Upgrade to Signals & Noise Premium – $9.99 per week to unlock it.

This post is for paying subscribers only

Already have an account? Log in

4 weeks of Premium, free (ends June 30) | Signals & Noise June 26
  Access Newsletter    This week's Signals & Noise is live, and there is a deadline attached. Until June 30, you can get four weeks of Signals & Noise Premium completely free. That includes next week's live coaching call with Steve, Tom and Jacob, the full weekly edition, the members video, and the TMM Learning Hub. Use code SN4WF at checkout. Cancel anytime. Now to this week. In finance theory...
The tax myth that costs investors money | Signals & Noise, June 19
  Access Newsletter  This week's Signals & Noise is live. With the recent tax changes, it is worth looking past the speculation and the bias to see what the impacts really are. The idea that investment simply stops because of tax is almost certainly wrong. Imagine a market where buyers exist but, according to the doomsayers, nobody will invest because of those dreaded taxes. There is always one...
The oil clock is ticking | Signals and Noise, June 12
  Access Newsletter  This week's Signals & Noise is live. One of the more vexing issues right now is the outlook for oil. Inventories are falling, and at some point we arrive at a severe shortage. That point is expected to be around July or August. From there, demand destruction, and most likely recession, as demand for products falls and unemployment starts rising. Then what? We think governme...

The Signals & Noise Newsletter

Cut through the noise. Each week, Signals & Noise delivers clear, evidence-based insights to help you think critically about markets, cycles, and risk. Just the signals that matter, backed by data and experience. For free, get key market summaries, visual charts, macro signals, decision-making tools, and a contrarian perspective. Smart, independent thinking sent straight to your inbox in under five minutes a week.

Subscribe for Free

Join a 1500+ strong community of likeminded investors; get our latest content including weekly market updates, portfolio reviews, blogs, and our podcast to your inbox, every Saturday

Not Financial Advice