Signals and Noise
Week ending May 29th 2026
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At some point the impacts of the Strait of Hormuz closure are going to bite. The ships that left the Gulf before the conflict have arrived. From here, supply shortages move from theoretical to physical. Energy experts are calling this the worst energy crisis in history. The impacts, regardless of when the war ends...
Signals and Noise
Week ending May 22nd 2026
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By now, all the ships loaded with oil and other goods that left the Gulf before the conflict have reached their destination. From here, the probability of supply shortages rises sharply. If we are right, stock markets may move quickly to reprice the companies affected. Things could get very volatile.
Be alert, not...
Signals and Noise Free
Week ending May 15th 2026
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On Monday, CSL fell 16% in a single day. The stock now sits at $120, down from $290 in 2025. That is a 57% loss in twelve months for one of the most loved blue-chips on the ASX. A decade of gains, gone.
The fund managers who are paid to know better stayed bullish all the way down. Twelve brokers. Still rating it...
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