← Back to all posts

Signals and Noise

May 29, 2026
Follow Us!

Week ending May 29th 2026

Access Newsletter 

This week's Signals & Noise is live.

At some point the impacts of the Strait of Hormuz closure are going to bite. The ships that left the Gulf before the conflict have arrived. From here, supply shortages move from theoretical to physical. Energy experts are calling this the worst energy crisis in history. The impacts, regardless of when the war ends, will be felt for years.

This is structural change, not cyclical. It will reshape trade, economies, and financial systems. Government policy will dominate free markets for at least the next decade. Energy security has replaced energy transition as the priority. All investments need to be looked at with fresh eyes.

In this week's free edition you get the opener, the regime-change thesis, and a glimpse of what is coming next.

Premium members also received Steve's full geopolitics review on the Carlyle "tank bottoms" oil warning, the new Budget 2026-27 tax reform (which applies to stock investments too, not just property), the CAPE update at 41.6 (second-highest in 140 years), the Quad Critical Minerals Initiative announced this week, and the Buffett 1965-1982 case study showing how to build wealth when the rules change.

Reminder: our monthly members coaching call is live this Monday. Join Premium before then to take part with Steve, Tom and Jacob.

For the next 48 hours, Premium is 50% off your first month with code PODCAST.

Read the full free edition below.

Access Newsletter 

 

 

Responses

Join the conversation
t("newsletters.loading")
Loading...
Signals and Noise
Week ending May 22nd 2026 Access Newsletter  This week's Signals & Noise is live. By now, all the ships loaded with oil and other goods that left the Gulf before the conflict have reached their destination. From here, the probability of supply shortages rises sharply. If we are right, stock markets may move quickly to reprice the companies affected. Things could get very volatile. Be alert, not...
Signals and Noise Free
Week ending May 15th 2026 Access Newsletter    This week's Signals & Noise is live. On Monday, CSL fell 16% in a single day. The stock now sits at $120, down from $290 in 2025. That is a 57% loss in twelve months for one of the most loved blue-chips on the ASX. A decade of gains, gone. The fund managers who are paid to know better stayed bullish all the way down. Twelve brokers. Still rating it...
Signals and Noise Free
Week ending May 8th 2026 Access Newsletter    This week's Signals & Noise is live. "It's time in the market, not timing the market." You have heard it a thousand times. It is the most repeated piece of advice in the financial industry. It is also, on the current numbers, demonstrably wrong. The S&P 500 dividend yield is 1.5%. That is a P/E of 66. The earnings yield is lower than bonds. Cash now...

The Signals & Noise Newsletter

Cut through the noise. Each week, Signals & Noise delivers clear, evidence-based insights to help you think critically about markets, cycles, and risk. Just the signals that matter, backed by data and experience. For free, get key market summaries, visual charts, macro signals, decision-making tools, and a contrarian perspective. Smart, independent thinking sent straight to your inbox in under five minutes a week.

Subscribe for Free

Join a 1500+ strong community of likeminded investors; get our latest content including weekly market updates, portfolio reviews, blogs, and our podcast to your inbox, every Saturday

Not Financial Advice