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The Signals and Noise

Nov 21, 2025
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Ending November 21 2025

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THIS IS VERY IMPORTANT

This example is why we warn against investing too much in individual companies. Droneshield causing volatility with insider selling. Watch these companies because they are small, growth oriented and experience huge volatility.

Calls to change ASX trading rules after DroneShield share cras...

After running a dizzying rally this year, DroneShield saw its stock plunge by more than 30 per cent in a day on November 13. The sell-off...

www.youtube.com

Short Stories

  • Immigration is changing. UK feeling the heat. 
  • Property Problems?
  • Trump Trouble?

 

 

The Oz Economy

This one issue highlights what we think is a continuation of the return of old industries. These old industries play a strategic role in military hardware and so it is beholden on government to maintain their operations regardless of cost. 

Government considers dramatic intervention to save Tomago smelter

The federal government is considering a power-purchase agreement with Tomago to supply electricity at a stable price, after warnings the ...

www.abc.net.au

Some positive expectations for the ASX over the next decade. We too believe the ASX should outperform many developed markets and some emerging ones. 

Australian equities set to outshine the U.S. in the decade ahead

A growing chorus of global forecasters see better days for Australian and other equity markets. Plus, bonds are back.

www.livewiremarkets.com

Private credit in Australia is worrying regulators. They should be.

Why Are There Concerns About Australia's Private Credit Industry

Australia's corporate regulator has threatened tougher legal action against private credit funds that fail to protect investors. The crac...

www.youtube.com

Lesson of the Week

 

Howard Marks: “When you buy the S&P 500 at a 23x P/E, your 10-yr annualized return has always fallen between +2% and –2%, IN EVERY CASE, EVERY CASE.” Today, the market sits at a 25x P/E. Add inflation… and your “returns” are negative. 

 

Line chart titled Shiller Cyclically-Adjusted S&P Price-Earnings Ratio with Change overlaid, y-axis from 5 to 50, x-axis years 1925 to 2025, blue bars mark productivity booms in 1919-1929 and 1996-2000, red line shows rising ratio to high levels recently.

 

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