They Have It Completely Backwards
That is our own conclusion this week, not a quote. This week: why government deficits, not private speculation, are the growth lever getting blamed for the wrong reasons, and the one heuristic that actually explains every property price move.
TLDR: This Week's Focus
Every growing economy needs more debt somewhere in the system, either from private borrowing or a bigger government deficit. The US budget deficit is growing and the US economy is running at roughly 2.75% real growth. That is not a coincidence.
Why Australia's declining mortgage borrowing and a shrinking government deficit both point to slower growth ahead, a Black Swan warning from Nassim Taleb's own business partner, the one heuristic that actually explains property prices and who really absorbs the losses when prices fall, and a revisit of gold and silver after a substantial pullback since January.
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