← Back to all posts

Signals and Noise Free

May 16, 2026
Follow Us!

Week ending May 15th 2026

Access Newsletter 

 

This week's Signals & Noise is live.

On Monday, CSL fell 16% in a single day. The stock now sits at $120, down from $290 in 2025. That is a 57% loss in twelve months for one of the most loved blue-chips on the ASX. A decade of gains, gone.

The fund managers who are paid to know better stayed bullish all the way down. Twelve brokers. Still rating it BUY. Their average target price right now is $195. The stock is at $120. These are the experts who are supposed to help non-experts secure their financial goals.

This week's free edition opens with the CSL story and what it tells us about the Risk Hierarchy, ETFs versus stock picking, and why most fund managers fail over 20 and 30 year periods.

Premium members also received the full broker consensus deep dive, Steve's geopolitics review on the Trump-Xi summit and Putin's concession, the Galbraith warning, the GfKV Global Systemic Rupture document, Dr Copper's signal on the supply deficit, Grasberg's delayed restart, the Lynas Malaysia protests, and the latest CAPE update at 40.3.

For the next 48 hours, Premium is 50% off your first month with code PODCAST. That includes Steve's monthly live coaching call with the TMM team.

Read the full free edition below.

Access Newsletter 

 

 

Responses

Join the conversation
t("newsletters.loading")
Loading...
4 weeks of Premium, free (ends June 30) | Signals & Noise June 26
  Access Newsletter    This week's Signals & Noise is live, and there is a deadline attached. Until June 30, you can get four weeks of Signals & Noise Premium completely free. That includes next week's live coaching call with Steve, Tom and Jacob, the full weekly edition, the members video, and the TMM Learning Hub. Use code SN4WF at checkout. Cancel anytime. Now to this week. In finance theory...
The tax myth that costs investors money | Signals & Noise, June 19
  Access Newsletter  This week's Signals & Noise is live. With the recent tax changes, it is worth looking past the speculation and the bias to see what the impacts really are. The idea that investment simply stops because of tax is almost certainly wrong. Imagine a market where buyers exist but, according to the doomsayers, nobody will invest because of those dreaded taxes. There is always one...
The oil clock is ticking | Signals and Noise, June 12
  Access Newsletter  This week's Signals & Noise is live. One of the more vexing issues right now is the outlook for oil. Inventories are falling, and at some point we arrive at a severe shortage. That point is expected to be around July or August. From there, demand destruction, and most likely recession, as demand for products falls and unemployment starts rising. Then what? We think governme...

The Signals & Noise Newsletter

Cut through the noise. Each week, Signals & Noise delivers clear, evidence-based insights to help you think critically about markets, cycles, and risk. Just the signals that matter, backed by data and experience. For free, get key market summaries, visual charts, macro signals, decision-making tools, and a contrarian perspective. Smart, independent thinking sent straight to your inbox in under five minutes a week.

Subscribe for Free

Join a 1500+ strong community of likeminded investors; get our latest content including weekly market updates, portfolio reviews, blogs, and our podcast to your inbox, every Saturday

Not Financial Advice