Every country is holding a chokepoint right now | Signals and Noise, July 24
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Oil, chips, credit and a property market that keeps rolling over.
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This week's Signals & Noise is up, and it is a busy one.
Tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has fallen by two thirds since the Iran ceasefire came apart, and shipping insurance costs have jumped sevenfold. At home, ASIC has put the private credit sector on notice, a market that has grown from $35 bil...
Most stocks lose money | Signals and Noise, July 17
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This week's Signals & Noise is live. The theme: most stocks lose money. A study out of Arizona State tracked every US stock from 1926 to 2025, 29,754 companies, and found that just 1,082 of them created all the net wealth. The median stock actually lost 6.87%. The market has always run on a tiny handful of winners, and that number is shrinking fast.
We pair it with six mo...
The biases that cost you money | Signals and Noise, July 10
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This week's Signals & Noise is live. The theme: we all carry investing biases without noticing, and the ones that go unchecked are the ones that cost money. Recency, availability, anchoring, priming, frequency and media bias, six mental shortcuts that get emotion to crowd out the numbers, and the process we use to catch each one.
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